The New Dark Age

8 December 2017 — National Security Archive

Perry: U.S. Planned for War during 1994 Nuclear Crisis, but Understood “War Involves Many Casualties”

U.S. Confronted Pyongyang on Missiles but Also Worried a “Starving North Korea” Could Create a “Dangerously Chaotic Situation”

Declassified Transcripts, Reports and Cables Spell Out U.S. and Allied Concerns, Options

National Security Archive Electronic Briefing Book No. 612 

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Washington, D.C., December 8, 2017 – The Clinton administration made plans for war against North Korea during the 1994 nuclear crisis.  While U.S. officials believed they could “undoubtedly win,” however, they also understood “war involves many casualties,” according to documents posted today by the George Washington University-based National Security Archive.

President Bill Clinton’s negotiators took a tough stance in meetings with North Korean leaders, including warning of “serious, negative consequences” if Pyongyang  continued to pursue its “unacceptable” missile program.  At the same time, the administration decided flexibility was critical given the unpredictability of events, including the prospect that a “starving North Korea” might create a “dangerously chaotic situation.”

Today’s posting features declassified cables, background papers, and reports of meetings involving former Defense Secretary William Perry, other senior Americans, and North and South Korean officials.  Together, the documents describe key moments and thinking during the course of the complex negotiations of the 1990s.  Perry and others had hopes the incoming Bush team would carry the effort forward (as Colin Powell indicated they would), but President Bush quickly informed President Kim he would be terminating all talks with the North.