World On The Brink Of Third World War By Nadir Mir*

27 March 2012 — Stop NATO – The Nation

US geostrategy has been embroiled in Afghanistan and Iraq; now it seeks to extend the war to Iran-Pakistan. Of course, the real war is against Russia and China, the opposing alliance. Washington sees China rising, Russia resurgent, the Islamic world defiant (with the Arab Spring likely to turn anti-Western) and Israel endangered, besides Western economic decline.

The US and NATO may attack Iran followed by Pakistan or both at the same time. An Israeli attack on Iran is even more likely and an Indian attack on Pakistan (Cold Start) always remains a possibility.

Russia and China are allies against the US-NATO geo-strategy (Iran and Pakistan are joining this alliance)…After Iraq and Afghanistan, they have seen the USNATO model of regime change in Libya and Syria by sponsoring local militants…All this is unifying the alliance of Heartland powers Russia-China and Rimland state actors Iran-Pakistan into an anti-USNATO alliance.

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It seems that from 2012 onwards, the world is on the brink of a Third World War. All sane and peaceloving men would pray that it is averted. For, the horoscope of the times points towards a global catastrophe in the making. The guns of August 1914 – the First World War – paled in the face of the Panzer Blitzkrieg of September 1939 – the Second World War. A Third World War during the Cold War was averted between NATO and Warsaw Pact forces. If a war breaks out in 2012 onwards, nukes shall speak and, tragically, billions may die; it will most likely be global. This apocalyptic scenario may yet come to pass, unless it is stopped in its tracks.

Opposing alliances: The US globalists-led NATO still wants to dominate the world, despite the disasters in Iraq and Afghanistan. It is not only that the Western world’s global dominance stands challenged, but also that the march of history may be reversed. Since the 1500s with scientific discoveries, industrialisation, political revolutions, colonialism, and technological ascendency, the world has been controlled by Western powers. The British Empire, Napoleon’s France, Hitler’s Germany and, more recently, the US have all been part of the Western world’s bid for global hegemony or control. Now the West is really in decline.

The USA – great power and the land of mass production – faces economic stagnation, if not full decline. The EU faces its own economic predicament. Against this backdrop, some Europeans and Americans find the idea of a powerful Germany leading Europe as unacceptable, so far. The two wars were fought – among other reasons – mainly to prevent Germany from its rightful place under the sun. An intra-European conflict may be brewing for the leadership of Europe, even as the USNATO alliance conflicts with the Russia-China dialectical alliance.

US geostrategy has been embroiled in Afghanistan and Iraq; now it seeks to extend the war to Iran-Pakistan. Of course, the real war is against Russia and China, the opposing alliance. Washington sees China rising, Russia resurgent, the Islamic world defiant (with the Arab Spring likely to turn anti-Western) and Israel endangered, besides Western economic decline.

The presidential election in America are upping the war ante, forcing President Barack Obama to strike Iran. New Delhi seeks Washington’s support to denuke, balkanise, and de-Islamise Pakistan before the USA’s departure from Afghanistan. Meanwhile Israel is straining at the leash before Iran develops a nuclear arsenal. This will change the strategic balance followed by a nuclear Saudi Arabia, Turkey, and Egypt.

In Afghanistan, the US seeks to retain a 25,000-strong force for the denuclearisation of Iran and Pakistan. It may seek the independence of Balochistan (with Indian support). A clash with Pakistan is likely though not inevitable. Delhi wants to use American power to fight Pakistan, but absurdly believes it can escape a nuclear conflagration. A war with Iran is even nearer – perhaps 2012. The US and NATO may attack Iran followed by Pakistan or both at the same time. An Israeli attack on Iran is even more likely and an Indian attack on Pakistan (Cold Start) always remains a possibility.

Russia and China are allies against the USNATO geo-strategy (Iran and Pakistan are joining this alliance). China is rising economically, and Russia is resurgent strategically. After Iraq and Afghanistan, they have seen the USNATO model of regime change in Libya and Syria by sponsoring local militants. In Russia, President Putin accused the US of instigating the opponents of [his party] United Russia; in China, it used India to foment trouble in Xinjiang, Tibet, etc. All this is unifying the alliance of Heartland powers Russia-China and Rimland state actors Iran-Pakistan into an anti-USNATO alliance. But the events are moving too fast! The Mayan Prophesy of 2012 as a ‘catastrophic year’ approaches. A USNATO-India clash with Pakistan or a USNATOIsrael clash with Iran will lead by default or design into a multi-regional war.

The combined geopolitical space of Pakistan-AfghanistanIranIraq backed by Russia-China is beyond USNATO reach. A war against Iran could be catastrophic, but against Pakistan it could be doomsday! In fact, a war against Pakistan is very complicated plus suicidal!

Firstly, Pakistan is neither threatening, nor attacking, anybody. It is on high moral ground, despite the USA’s propaganda about the security of its nuclear arsenal.

Secondly, Pakistan will defend itself at any level – sub-conventional (asymmetrical), conventional (armed forces), above conventional (nuclear –WMD).

Thirdly, Pakistanis are united in defending the motherland and fight foreign invaders. The people and political parties want an end to the Afghan war and peace in Pakistan.

Fourthly, Iran, China, Saudi Arabia, Turkey and Russia will support Pakistan, despite diverse strategic interests.

Anyhow, the Muslim world would revolt as war with Iran and Pakistan becomes apparent. The initiators of the attack will be burnt by the flames they help ignite themselves (albeit radioactive fires).

Geopolitics of peace is the solution: USNATO must relent on Afghanistan; of course, no war with Iran and no interference in Balochistan. The alternative is too horrible to contemplate.

Besides the innocent people of Iran and Pakistan, people in Europe and the USA are being duped by the neocons and globalists. Shocked when the bastion of capitalism, Wall Street, came under siege and fearing rapid collapse, war abroad is their illogical choice. Even in Israel, half of the population is against war. Overall, the good Jewish people, with their historical sense of survival, seek peace and security. Pakistan is not anti-Semitic at all, but has deep sympathy with the people in Palestine. Indeed, peace in the Middle East would be welcome by all. The globalists, however, are adamant to drive the ‘American Titanic’ into a global iceberg. But this war will be self-defeating for all!

A new paradigm shift is needed, rather than beating the drums of war. The Russians have played a great role in deterring the US war hawks, aided by the peace-loving Chinese. The Germans and other anti-war Europeans, along with sane people in the US, must join hands to abort this global conflagration. Russia’s key role in global peace, security for Israel, no attack on Iran, establishment of a Palestine state, a USNATO exodus from Afghanistan, no interference in Balochistan, return of Kashmir to Pakistan, US-China amity, all have to be part of the geopolitical peacemaking and war avoidance. Indeed, the alternative – global nuclear war – is too apocalyptic to contemplate.

*The writer is a retired brigadier of the Pakistan Army and is the author of the book Gwadar on the Global Chessboard.

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